Brisbane Broncos v Parramatta Eels

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30 August 2019 - Written by beteasy

A win for the Broncos against Parra this Friday night will have them one step closer to the finals, but it won’t be easy for the eighth placed Broncs as they face another top eight foe.

A 22-20 loss to Souths in round 23 came after a furious late rally that almost saw Brisbane snatch an unlikely victory. The last time they played the Eels was in round 14 when they were smashed 38-10 in a blue and gold clinic in Sydney.

The Broncos are unchanged for this one, while the Eels welcome back winger Blake Ferguson for his first game since round 17. The suspension of Nathan Brown means Marata Niukore is back in the starting side following the Eels 12-6 loss to the Dogs last Thursday.

In their last visit to Brisbane, the Eels lost 18-10 in round 12 last season, falling behind 12-0 after just 15 minutes.

This game has all the makings of one that will go be decided in the closing stages. Brisbane can’t afford to lose a close game and fall back into a pack of teams waiting to take their spot just outside the eight.

The Wolf senses their desperation will be key in this game and they’ll get over the line against an Eels side that’s guaranteed to feature in finals.

Wolf Facts

  • Whilst the Broncos and Eels defence are almost the same in terms of points conceded (Broncos 443, Eels 440), the points scoring ability of the Eels is where they have a clear advantage. The Eels have scored 485 points, which is the 4th best in the competition compared to 401 for the Broncos which is 10 the best in competition.
  • The Broncos have run 33,314 metres compared to 33,383 metres for the Eels. This equates to only three less metres per game.
  • The Broncos have not won in 2019 after being behind at half time.
H2H: Broncos ($1.60)
Value: Broncos 1-12 / Over 40.5 ($5)

ERL Prediction

Parramatta Eels for the win

 

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