Saints Ready To Roll Panthers
St George Illawarra were dreadful in Round 1 but are the play in this one in a premier early season spot that bets on home underdogs of 4 or more in the first four rounds of the season.
Home underdogs of 4 or more in the first four rounds of the season are a remarkable 46-18 ATS since 2008. Home underdogs of 4 or more off a double digit loss in the first four rounds are 20-10 ATS. This is an outstanding spot and with the Dragons having a good record at Kogarah and Penrith very poor as a road favourite, confidence should be high.
Penrith have won seven of the last 11 meetings including two straight against St George Illawarra. The Panthers have hammered the Dragons in the two meetings over the last two years including a 40-18 win in 2019 and a 28-2 win in the only meeting in 2018.
St George Illawarra lost their home opener against the Wests Tigers despite the Tigers losing their star halfback. It was a double digit loss in a game that went under the total. Penrith stunned premiers the Sydney Roosters as a big home underdog. They won 20-14 in a game that went under the total.
Penrith hold the recent head-to-head edge and come in riding a better formline but the Dragons are a highly confident play. Matt Dufty returning at fullback only increases The Wolf’s confidence.
H2H: Dragons ($2.30)
Best Bet: Dragons +4 ($1.90)
Same Game Multi: Dragons +4/Under 38.5/Jordan Pereira To Socre A Try ($6.79)
ERL Prediction
Penrith Panthers for the win.
Panthers 13+